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Thomas Bayes : ウィキペディア英語版
Thomas Bayes

Thomas Bayes (; c. 1701 7 April 1761)〔〔Belhouse, D.R. (The Reverend Thomas Bayes FRS: a Biography to Celebrate the Tercentenary of his Birth ).〕 was an English statistician, philosopher and Presbyterian minister who is known for having formulated a specific case of the theorem that bears his name: Bayes' theorem. Bayes never published what would eventually become his most famous accomplishment; his notes were edited and published after his death by Richard Price.〔McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch. (2011). 〕
==Biography==
Thomas Bayes was the son of London Presbyterian minister Joshua Bayes, and was possibly born in Hertfordshire.〔''Oxford Dictionary of National Biography'', article on Bayes by A. W. F. Edwards.〕 He came from a prominent nonconformist family from Sheffield. In 1719, he enrolled at the University of Edinburgh to study logic and theology. On his return around 1722, he assisted his father at the latter's chapel in London before moving to Tunbridge Wells, Kent, around 1734. There he was minister of the Mount Sion chapel, until 1752.〔(【引用サイトリンク】The Reverend Thomas Bayes FRS- A Biography )
He is known to have published two works in his lifetime, one theological and one mathematical:
#''Divine Benevolence, or an Attempt to Prove That the Principal End of the Divine Providence and Government is the Happiness of His Creatures'' (1731)
#''An Introduction to the Doctrine of Fluxions, and a Defence of the Mathematicians Against the Objections of the Author of The Analyst'' (published anonymously in 1736), in which he defended the logical foundation of Isaac Newton's calculus ("fluxions") against the criticism of George Berkeley, author of ''The Analyst''
It is speculated that Bayes was elected as a Fellow of the Royal Society in 1742 on the strength of the ''Introduction to the Doctrine of Fluxions'', as he is not known to have published any other mathematical works during his lifetime.
In his later years he took a deep interest in probability. Professor Stephen Stigler, historian of statistical science, thinks that Bayes became interested in the subject while reviewing a work written in 1755 by Thomas Simpson, but George Alfred Barnard thinks he learned mathematics and probability from a book by Abraham de Moivre. His work and findings on probability theory were passed in manuscript form to his friend Richard Price after his death.
By 1755 he was ill and by 1761 had died in Tunbridge Wells. He was buried in Bunhill Fields burial ground in Moorgate, London, where many nonconformists lie.

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